0x343d12f9524dc527979a28390ad138ec6fe1cd2e
0x343d12f9524dc527979a28390ad138ec6fe1cd2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$11.9K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$719.06
Win rate
73%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
871 shares @ 81.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$740.46
$33.76
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2237 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$520.12
$-39.60
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
570 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$510.15
$54.00
- NO
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
487 shares @ 72.3¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$472.45
$120.48
- NO
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
493 shares @ 82.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$462.58
$56.99
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
400 shares @ 83.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.02
$28.00
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
369 shares @ 91.2¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$334.52
$-1.65
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
320 shares @ 76.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$289.60
$45.20
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
415 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$288.34
$6.38
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
290 shares @ 78.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$287.10
$58.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$8.56Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$11.13Jun 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$13.35Jun 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$17.60Jun 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$24.48Jun 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$37.11Jun 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$4.00Jun 13, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$2.89Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$80.46Jun 13, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$31.72Jun 13, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$0.71Jun 12, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$2.95Jun 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$55.30Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.70Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$16.00Jun 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$18.60Jun 12, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$3.00Jun 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?$4.84Jun 12, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.