Staid-Elongation
0x348d0e8f255e6ed8d907f314e81ff9670cf65102
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$526.28
Total PnL
$-9.93
Realised
$55.45
Win rate
95%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
80 shares @ 89.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$79.32
$7.77
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
80 shares @ 87.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.80
$6.03
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
70 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$70.00
$0.98
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
45 shares @ 89.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.48
$4.23
- NO
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
40 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.86
$1.14
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.86
$2.88
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
40 shares @ 84.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.60
$1.75
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
40 shares @ 80.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$30.80
$-1.40
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
30 shares @ 82.3¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.30
$4.59
- NO
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$16.00Jun 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$16.20Jun 12, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.06Jun 10, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$38.72Jun 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLVon der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?$12.95Jun 6, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$5.54Jun 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$0.96Jun 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$6.53Jun 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.40Jun 5, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.05Jun 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.02Jun 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLVon der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?$38.40Jun 5, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.02Jun 5, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 5, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.