Cheerful-Ambiguity
0x356085c0019ce0a7b11e995f26f4d9d7570d11f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.88
Total PnL
$-114.49
Realised
$-1.70
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
25 shares @ 72.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.63
$-5.38
- YES
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
51 shares @ 15.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$-6.68
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
289 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.04
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
30 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- NO
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricky Castillo finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US add at least 100k jobs in March?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribers" during his next video?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMNCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$0.00Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.02Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?$0.24Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.75Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.88Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$1.04Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.15Apr 20, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?$0.96Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.55Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$2.34Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$2.94Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$3.10Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$1.60Apr 20, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $23.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 17:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.