Wet-Clam
0x3606f455cf588c84453f56e749cd15bca4f14e08
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-871.01
Realised
$67.47
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
580 shares @ 83.2¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$509.56
$27.09
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
418 shares @ 85.2¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$384.61
$28.46
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
432 shares @ 75.5¢·now 79.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.56
$16.31
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
806 shares @ 48.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.76
$-157.11
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
951 shares @ 38.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.22
$-170.89
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
149 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$139.05
$-0.95
- NO
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
100 shares @ 64.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$87.50
$22.90
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
60 shares @ 49.5¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.01
$18.30
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
79 shares @ 56.9¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.39
$-8.61
- YES
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
37 shares @ 63.3¢·now 83.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.74
$7.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$20.00Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$63.36Jun 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$100.00Jun 9, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$200.00Jun 9, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$20.00Jun 9, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$11.21Jun 9, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.00Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$77.88Jun 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$87.94Jun 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$100.92Jun 6, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI file for an IPO by June 5, 2026?$60.00Jun 6, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$4.88Jun 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$45.78Jun 5, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$140.33Jun 5, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$2.51Jun 5, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$4.58Jun 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$36.17Jun 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$0.90Jun 5, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$8.60Jun 5, 03:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $68.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.