Delectable-Kale
0x363ca9f60b40e4d61063ee3c2e337ed9bbca4463
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$513.31
Total PnL
$-95.44
Realised
$34.47
Win rate
82%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
42 shares @ 32.4¢·now 78.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$32.89
$19.28
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
162 shares @ 8.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.30
$11.34
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
162 shares @ 8.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.49
$9.91
- YES
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 14.3¢·now 44.7¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$22.35
$15.20
- YES
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
33 shares @ 11.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$20.51
$16.87
- YES
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
61 shares @ 28.2¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.80
$1.71
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
210 shares @ 9.3¢·now 7.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.17
$-3.30
- YES
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
20 shares @ 4.2¢·now 80.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$16.13
$15.29
- NO
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
16 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.11
$1.31
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
175 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.88
$4.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin not meet?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit France in 2026?$0.00Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
33 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $47.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.