Entire-Takeout
0x36d1702ebdd65aa6adfb0d62d0778affb85f3273
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$174.92
Total PnL
$-500.07
Realised
$-35.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
30 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$29.10
$0.36
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 8, 2026$19.53
$0.94
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.90
$-0.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20 shares @ 77.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.20
$-1.26
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20 shares @ 81.3¢·now 70.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.17
$-2.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 68.5¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.95
$-0.75
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$-5.20
- YES
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.00
$1.20
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.96
$0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0117h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.301d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.381d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.131d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$28.791d ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$94.001d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $100M one day after launch?$8.803d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$94.103d ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$4.514d ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$14.084d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.704d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.804d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$16.264d ago
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.835d ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$15.465d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.405d ago
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.125d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?$9.995d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $13.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 17h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
