Guilty-Dew
0x381f4b69dbf6d97cecc7fd688ba9c9d7a540bc99
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-134.02
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1845 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.43
$-212.43
- YES
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
237 shares @ 71.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$191.67
$21.67
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
119 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.76
$1.76
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$92.00
$3.00
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
148 shares @ 61.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$86.31
$-3.69
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
375 shares @ 44.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.86
$-89.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
399 shares @ 21.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.90
$-43.52
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.15
$5.15
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
286 shares @ 63.6¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$32.90
$-148.98
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
80 shares @ 83.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.60
$-34.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.55Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$1.04Jun 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Jun 11, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$53.25Jun 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.00Jun 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$20.00Jun 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$66.40Jun 10, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$6.15Jun 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$5.13Jun 9, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$527.56Jun 7, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$20.95Jun 7, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$7.00Jun 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$143.58Jun 7, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$139.38Jun 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$66.00Jun 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$60.79Jun 1, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?$66.87Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$20.00May 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$10.00May 30, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$5.00May 30, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $48.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.