0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$576.14
Total PnL
$-470.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$70.47
$-1.77
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$70.36
$-1.88
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$70.07
$-2.17
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$69.82
$-2.42
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$67.58
$-4.66
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 89.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$64.57
$-7.67
- NO
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
37 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$37.24
$0.06
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$32.56
$-3.56
- NO
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$19.59
$-0.28
- YES
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.43
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$10.95Jun 14, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?$22.59Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$9.01Jun 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$9.01Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$9.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9.01Jun 12, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$9.00Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$0.00Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$9.13Jun 12, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Addison Rae" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?$9.12Jun 11, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$0.00Jun 11, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$0.00Jun 11, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$9.12Jun 11, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$0.00Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$9.12Jun 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B?$9.11Jun 11, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt concede by June 10?$9.11Jun 11, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$9.12Jun 10, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $11.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.