Grown-Pudding
0x387d8e4f267bb2dab9b853f8c87f391122010120
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$61.58
Total PnL
$-4.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
14 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.80
$0.20
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$11.27
$1.27
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
7 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.57
$-0.26
- YES
Will "Beautiful" be said during Eurovision?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will "Enjoy" be said during Eurovision?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.85
$-1.15
- YES
Will "Yesterday" be said during Eurovision?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.65
$-1.35
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
1310 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$2.75May 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Enjoy" be said during Eurovision?$5.01May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Beautiful" be said during Eurovision?$5.01May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Yesterday" be said during Eurovision?$5.03May 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?$5.02May 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?$5.10May 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.68May 16, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.60May 16, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$16.67May 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$5.88May 15, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.02May 15, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$5.02May 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$10.08May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1.05May 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$10.12May 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.54May 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$13.75May 15, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.89May 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$12.60May 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.15May 1, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".