Somber-Chicory
0x3a4e36fd3e86d0b63720bca069f1ffa04bdc5c16
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$705.63
Total PnL
$-101.11
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
741 shares @ 44.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.74
$-33.27
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.47
$-0.53
- NO
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.28
$1.28
- NO
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
54 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.00
$1.00
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.26
$0.26
- NO
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
51 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.58
$-0.42
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.73
$2.63
- NO
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.16
$0.16
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
27 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.01
$1.01
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.40
$1.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$16.28May 12, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.74May 12, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$30.35May 6, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$29.99May 6, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 6, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$20.40May 6, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$10.12May 6, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$20.46May 6, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$71.38May 6, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $45.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".