Terrible-Candidacy
0x3a96a8890cd8338ee137e99d2cae761d4b9763bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$39.42
Total PnL
$-7.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 69.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$21.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
13 shares @ 76.6¢·now 85.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.12
$1.12
- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.30
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9?$1.01Jun 3, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.03May 30, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.19May 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.06May 12, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$1.01May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abstract launch a token in 2025?$1.04May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?$1.05May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?$1.05May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?$1.06May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 11?$1.08May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 20?$1.09May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?$1.09May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMMoonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.45May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?$2.50May 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$11.90May 12, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02May 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?$1.00Apr 1, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".