Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Probability
84¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$229.15
Liquidity
$38.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14791.5h
- 21:30SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14791h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 84¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 84¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 84¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 83¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 83¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 84¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 80¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 81¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 80¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 81¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 81¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 74¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 44¢0.0pp
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $105.47
- 35¢+2.5pp
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $744.91
- 33¢+4.0pp
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $2.0K
- 20¢+1.0pp
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $327.77
- 19¢+1.5pp
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $8.05
- 61¢+8.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $2.9M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Other · Vol $2.8M
- 76¢+3.0pp
Celtics vs. 76ers
Other · Vol $2.8M
- 100¢0.0pp
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Other · Vol $2.6M
- 2¢-0.7pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 26¢+3.0pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Other · Vol $1.9M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Bony-Recovery6.2K
- Unsightly-Seagull4.7K
- Queasy-Puddle4.6K
- Frequent-Cartel3.6K
- Stunning-Farm3.2K
- Ancient-Windchime17.7K
- Humming-Inventory12.2K
- Knobby-Disparity7.0K
- Ready-Cage3.6K
- Decisive-Jackfruit3.0K