Understated-Methane
0x3a980e846a2ad88d6943b90b770bb5edd6186a15
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-177.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$202.27
$2.27
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$202.27
$2.27
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
153 shares @ 65.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$104.60
$4.60
- YES
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
157 shares @ 63.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$104.56
$4.56
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
123 shares @ 81.4¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$102.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$101.22
$1.22
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
269 shares @ 37.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$90.17
$-9.83
- YES
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
181 shares @ 55.1¢·now 46.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$83.48
$-16.52
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
181 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$75.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$51.21
$1.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$88.69May 18, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$111.11May 18, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$81.88May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?$86.11May 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$48.55May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$50.82May 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?$50.63May 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.58May 17, 09:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$50.90May 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$50.77May 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$50.61May 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$204.48May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?$102.36May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$101.80May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$101.46May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$204.48May 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$102.51May 15, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $113.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".