Obvious-Perch
0x3ae09201b5b3f7b0741e39f9886bf840cb3b1da6
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$111.67
Total PnL
$11.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
82 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$80.88
$5.72
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
30 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$29.78
$5.36
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$0.02
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.48
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$27.84Apr 5, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$0.00Apr 5, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$47.32Apr 5, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$24.60Apr 5, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.62Apr 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.77Apr 4, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.73Apr 4, 12:10 UTC
- SPLITWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.00Apr 4, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$4.74Apr 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$2.17Apr 3, 23:44 UTC
- SPLITTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$6.77Apr 3, 23:33 UTC
- SPLITWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Apr 3, 23:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.46Mar 9, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Mar 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$4.83Mar 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$4.76Mar 7, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.58Mar 7, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.07Mar 7, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.50Mar 7, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.50Mar 7, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 20:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".