0x3afcad357e5b46edb060db5a8ac859d83d874ae6
0x3afcad357e5b46edb060db5a8ac859d83d874ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$24.53
Total PnL
$-219.96
Realised
$15.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 15?
47 shares @ 30.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.56
$-3.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?
18 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$6.79
$1.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 15?
14 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.10
$0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?
42 shares @ 20.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.29
$-6.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 15?
2 shares @ 21.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.79
$0.36
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
278 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
130 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
60 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?
55 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13?
23 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 15?$14.76Jun 14, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 15?$0.45Jun 14, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 15?$3.74Jun 14, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?$5.62Jun 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14?$9.11Jun 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?$10.96Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13?$4.84Jun 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?$5.12Jun 12, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$3.46May 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$30.75May 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$24.25May 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$100.92May 13, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$109.75May 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.78May 13, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$2.60May 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$53.74May 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.80May 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$50.63May 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.06May 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$81.18May 5, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $28.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.