Downright-Method
0x3b9e797eaacdb2c4a69206095f515e7d787b67c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$146.98
Total PnL
$-506.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1079 shares @ 17.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.13
$-119.68
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
110 shares @ 32.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.85
$-9.95
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$0.40
- YES
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
380 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.83
$-34.77
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
124 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.66
$-14.84
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
132 shares @ 18.6¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.11
$-17.33
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 18.6¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.97
$-5.19
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
100 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$-1.65
- YES
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
24 shares @ 54.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$-12.64
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2201 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-275.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?$1.09May 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.42May 24, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.72May 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.45May 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.40May 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.55May 24, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.36May 24, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.42May 24, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.35May 24, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.24May 24, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3.96May 24, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.97May 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$2.80May 24, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.16May 24, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$78.01May 24, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$30.60Apr 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$16.50Apr 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$39.87Apr 22, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?$0.00Apr 22, 20:25 UTC
- REWARD$5.29Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.