Complete-Referendum
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
104
Open notional
$63.3K
Total PnL
$-75.8K
Realised
$143.40
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
44831 shares @ 67.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.7K
$470.68
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
36695 shares @ 44.6¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.7K
$-3.7K
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
5946 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$5.9K
$1.9K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
5555 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.2K
$416.62
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
7812 shares @ 51.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.2K
$-834.78
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
3127 shares @ 69.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$101.47
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
1665 shares @ 57.1¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$965.70
$14.43
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
6919 shares @ 27.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$934.05
$-998.22
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1286 shares @ 39.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$507.22
$4.50
- YES
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?
333 shares @ 71.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$333.00
$94.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.035h ago
- YIELD$0.041d ago
- REWARD$2.071d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.4K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$475.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$204.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.251d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$743.991d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.521d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$25.381d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$325.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$827.611d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$900.221d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$74.252d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$49.502d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.6K2d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$27.602d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$13.802d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.052d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $927.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.