Known-Maximum
0x3d39a48612659c5cac93a6cdf7b44bf1d7c48f74
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$140.65
Total PnL
$-407.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
226 shares @ 73.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$68.95
$-98.05
- YES
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
42 shares @ 47.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.71
$-3.29
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 33.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.35
$-9.65
- YES
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?
169 shares @ 11.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.61
$-12.39
- YES
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?
144 shares @ 27.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.07
$-32.93
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
112 shares @ 17.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.95
$-16.05
- JUAN DIAZ
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.13
$2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$17.00May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$150.00May 16, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.02May 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$1.02May 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1.02May 16, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$11.99May 15, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$120.90May 15, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$35.71May 10, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$10.05May 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$30.14May 8, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$50.00May 6, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$10.00May 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$20.00May 3, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$20.00May 3, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$5.56May 2, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$3.82Apr 28, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$20.00Apr 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$20.00Apr 27, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $29.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".