Humming-Feedback
0x3d7dd86b71ee2818f62f7a203cf3bff606feb015
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$16.55
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-487.03
Win rate
9%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.62
$0.62
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.43
$-0.56
- YES
Blue tsunami in 2026?
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$3.61
$-0.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-2.04
- YES
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
1300 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.30
- YES
Will Green Left win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
1249 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.49
- YES
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
600 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- OVER
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
450 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-261.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
332 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$33.75Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$2.52Jun 28, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$3.00Jun 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$46.00Jun 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$6.20Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$7.50Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$9.84Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$8.50Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$8.10Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$8.61Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?$9.87Jun 28, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$14.75Jun 28, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$10.00Jun 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?$10.02Jun 27, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$2.87Jun 27, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$10.23Jun 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$8.70Jun 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 27, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$9.54Jun 27, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
46 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.