Distorted-Motorboat
0x3d981d3e9375083c8d0e11a6415d4a6ab73a00e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$769.71
Total PnL
$-233.06
Realised
$-5.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$171.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
100 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$98.85
$1.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.50
$5.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.49
$18.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.49
$0.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 94.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.18
$1.50
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$33.40
$7.40
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$31.80
$-2.20
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.5¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.00
$-19.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15?$0.13Jun 12, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 15?$52.87Jun 12, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11?$50.00Jun 12, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$184.00Jun 11, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$97.44Jun 11, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$71.62Jun 11, 12:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$67.99Jun 10, 07:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum flipped in 2026?$60.00Jun 8, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?$100.00Jun 8, 06:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$26.00Jun 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11?$28.16Jun 5, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $55.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.