0x3daaecdcbef7dd68451c6bbe6840f1e87f3bda11
0x3daaecdcbef7dd68451c6bbe6840f1e87f3bda11
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$40.48
Total PnL
$-19.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.72
$-0.11
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.68
$-0.15
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.63
$-0.20
- DFX PEEK
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.58
$0.05
- NO
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.53
$-0.00
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.52
$-0.30
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.50
$-0.33
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 87.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$4.24
$-0.59
- NO
Will Matt Strickler be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.55
$0.00
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 31.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.54
$-3.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$4.43Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$4.43Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?$4.43Jul 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$4.48Jul 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?$4.43Jun 30, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$4.43Jun 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$4.43Jun 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$4.44Jun 30, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$4.44Jun 29, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$4.44Jun 29, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$4.44Jun 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$4.44Jun 28, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$4.46Jun 25, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$4.44Jun 24, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Will Find You" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$4.41Jun 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "I Will Find You" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$4.41Jun 23, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?$4.41Jun 21, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?$4.44Jun 21, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?$4.40Jun 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 8 million views on day 1?$4.40Jun 21, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 03:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.