Decent-Appetizer
0x3dddac94ee8ed261f536c4dd3402b6e2ca3a3fe6
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$95.91
Total PnL
$-445.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
91 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.29
$12.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.82
$-7.18
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
86 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.63
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
81 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
77 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
68 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- CLIPPERS
Warriors vs. Clippers
59 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.62Jun 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.17Jun 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.17Jun 24, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.01Jun 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$32.11Jun 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$25.40Jun 24, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$61.31Jun 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$56.11Jun 23, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22?$193.50Jun 23, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$71.00Jun 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.27Jun 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$51.07Jun 22, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22?$51.11Jun 22, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$44.12May 21, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$12.24May 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$30.29May 20, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$24.26May 6, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026$21.74May 4, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$41.67May 4, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $44.12May 4, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $35.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.