0x3ee2e8416bc0468f01856f1ec0c96f0bdabc2176
0x3ee2e8416bc0468f01856f1ec0c96f0bdabc2176
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$33.93
Total PnL
$-20.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$3.50
- YES
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 34.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$3.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 20?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$5.00
$2.85
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$3.20
- YES
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 87.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.61
- YES
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
18 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-0.43
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
15 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.65
$-3.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 45.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.57
$-5.17
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.85
$-0.75
- YES
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?$4.38Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.07Mar 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$0.01Mar 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 20?$0.52Mar 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?$5.00Mar 18, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on March 19?$0.06Mar 18, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.55Mar 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$2.55Mar 17, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$2.55Mar 17, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$2.55Mar 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on March 18?$0.06Mar 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $0.65Mar 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on March 18?$0.07Mar 17, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$1.75Mar 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BRICS add a new member in 2026?$2.35Mar 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.26Mar 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$2.10Mar 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C or higher on March 20?$0.53Mar 17, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$0.30Mar 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.74Mar 17, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.