Old-Fashioned-Igloo
0x3f1382964dc5e0307fb2e71f242bcd580dbaedcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$475.65
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-10.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$199.50
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?
105 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$101.95
$-0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?
100 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$99.95
$0.45
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.90
$2.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 69.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.42
$-0.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.80
$1.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.35
$2.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.25
$2.45
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.47
$0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?$23.40Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?$99.40Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?$99.50Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?$74.10Jun 13, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$19.00Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13?$200.00Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$300.00Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?$4.88Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$21.20Jun 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$49.75Jun 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$22.05Jun 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13?$97.30Jun 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$2.95Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$56.05Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$59.96Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$38.31Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13?$47.01Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13?$24.77Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?$24.70Jun 13, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $32.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.