Quaint-Departure
0x3f15949df578a6cf2aed9b95fc0ee7cadbc99139
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.27
Realised
$14.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1116 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-28.30
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
166 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
117 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
108 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.02
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
60 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$24.82May 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$10.00Apr 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$5.00Apr 24, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8.00Apr 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.11Apr 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Apr 23, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$7.15Apr 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?$15.00Apr 22, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 22, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$66.95Apr 22, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$22.85Apr 19, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$13.10Apr 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$9.75Apr 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$30.04Apr 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$11.00Apr 15, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 14, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.00Apr 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$4.44Apr 14, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$9.26Apr 13, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$15.71Apr 13, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.