Gentle-Espalier
0x3f18a8746c7ee495a59c663f187228f559161a22
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.77
Total PnL
$-188.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.77
$0.40
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1095 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-27.37
- YES
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $620 in April?
700 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
296 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
3 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in April?
1 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals$10.42Jul 11, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 3+ goals$10.48Jul 11, 13:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $31.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.