Muffled-Limestone
0x400147f1da27487a86e383cc63c9fc433243826d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-820.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2066 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
1635 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
552 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
247 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$344.83May 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.41May 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$2.58May 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$380.96May 11, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$164.44May 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$128.75May 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$102.30May 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$51.14May 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$24.55May 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.65May 11, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $92.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.