Thankful-Yang
0x40a13192cef9cc57ac19dbcb3234c50aebbc8919
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$390.47
Realised
$2.90
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
865 shares @ 86.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$865.00
$120.23
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
799 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$799.00
$407.49
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
25 shares @ 48.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.75
$-7.25
- YES
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
168 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
89 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-38.27
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
42 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
40 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-18.80
- NO
Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
33 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.11
- NO
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
31 shares @ 98.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.63
- YES
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$9.18Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$24.48Apr 24, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$375.63Apr 21, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 12, 2026?$4.00Apr 17, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$49.37Apr 17, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$421.76Apr 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$576.18Apr 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (April 19)$175.50Apr 12, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (April 19)$94.25Apr 12, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$52.92Apr 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$675.22Apr 12, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$248.82Apr 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$744.76Apr 12, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$89.32Apr 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$462.69Apr 12, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (April 19)$323.70Apr 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$391.51Apr 12, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 12, 2026?$124.20Apr 12, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?$378.20Apr 12, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?$49.41Apr 12, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $304.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.