Frightening-Reboot
0x40c93f5a20566b7d7da4c6085dbba89e1902d758
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$56.87
Total PnL
$-1.87
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.87
$0.75
- YES
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.4¢·exp May 28, 2026$4.86
$-0.04
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$4.58
$0.08
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.76
$-0.11
- NO
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.74
$-0.20
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.69
$-0.22
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$0.03
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.04
$0.08
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.43
$-0.15
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.35
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$2.56May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$2.32May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$2.60May 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$2.18May 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$2.02May 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$2.29May 15, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$4.95May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.55May 10, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1.55May 10, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$4.70May 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$1.48May 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$1.48May 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$2.47May 9, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$6.59May 9, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.82May 9, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.82May 9, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.29May 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.29May 8, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$3.36May 8, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$4.78May 8, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".