Marvelous-Earmuffs
0x410c6321bda428be6c778117b6103bf22cf4f7f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$398.31
Total PnL
$-811.01
Realised
$7.47
Win rate
69%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$169.70
$69.70
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 73.2¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.56
$8.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 62.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.78
$10.13
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
201 shares @ 49.4¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.45
$-68.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 79.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.63
$3.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 59.4¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.19
$6.89
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.80
$5.40
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 72.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.45
$-1.28
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 37.9¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.25
$-1.00
- YES
USDC depeg by December 31?
465 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.96
$-4.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.15Jun 11, 19:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.40Jun 9, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.20Jun 9, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.70Jun 9, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.60Jun 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.10Jun 7, 17:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$3.45May 31, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.