Good-Natured-Tanktop
0x41e09200cb37f2d7ed928d390a635deefb19121d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$14.90
Total PnL
$-515.19
Realised
$31.21
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 38.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.45
$-27.66
- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
450 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.38
$-72.37
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$-0.84
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07?
1900 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
500 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-27.42
- YES
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
406 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-39.08
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
401 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.21
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
208 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- YES
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?
200 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$9.12May 24, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$3.13May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.99May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.85May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.14May 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.30May 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.15May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.03May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.05May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 3, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.