Untrue-Cocktail
0x41e4f817bee47216246555168fe78d5a6f8857cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$52.01
Total PnL
$-535.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$12.10
$8.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.69
$0.69
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$7.90
$-8.30
- YES
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.30
$-0.10
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Wild
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- UTAH
Utah vs. Hurricanes
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- COLORADO STATE RAMS
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?
57 shares @ 88.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNick Fuentes federally charged?$1.40May 16, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$3.60May 16, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$16.20May 16, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.98May 15, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.00May 9, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.00May 9, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.04May 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.14May 9, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$21.93Mar 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$19.80Mar 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?$21.02Mar 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?$20.75Mar 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?$19.94Mar 4, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$19.93Mar 4, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$18.20Mar 4, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?$19.93Mar 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5$20.34Mar 4, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Bulls: O/U 228.5$19.93Mar 4, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-10.5)$19.94Mar 4, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?$22.67Mar 2, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".