Elaborate-Watercress
0x4222e7062f044dcad6ae68a050e3434efa47aa99
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$299.79
Total PnL
$-95.95
Realised
$-15.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4537 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$72.59
$-51.98
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
599 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.84
$0.15
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
509 shares @ 10.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.53
$3.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.50
$2.50
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.21
$1.21
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.03
$1.03
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$0.29
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.20
$-0.80
- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
278 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.89
$-0.28
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
154 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.55
$-1.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$4.16May 17, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$1.00May 17, 11:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$3.81May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$6.72May 15, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 14, 16:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$0.56May 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$2.96May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$0.30May 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$4.84May 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.37May 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$0.19May 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$3.87May 13, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$0.35May 12, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".