Fitting-Cuckoo
0x426d2c7d4e856dd6f817bfea1c34065f63e3f84c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.97
Total PnL
$-201.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 17.6¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
37 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.50
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
33 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Israel military action against Iran before July?
33 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
28 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
25 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.30Jul 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$5.96Jul 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$8.17Jul 16, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$14.00Jul 16, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$24.14Jul 16, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$6.00Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.04Jun 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$8.20Jun 12, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$9.68Jun 12, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$6.15May 23, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$2.16May 23, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$4.56May 23, 22:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.