Creative-Clutch
0x43465a2cbc02e06a555bfcd9ceeb7bd37f360f02
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$36.51
Total PnL
$-467.49
Realised
$26.18
Win rate
87%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.79
$0.28
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.42
$0.51
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Natural Disaster in 2026?
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.60
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.31
$0.54
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
5 shares @ 85.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.21
$-0.01
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.72
$0.25
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 39.3¢·now 23.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.54
$-1.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
11 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$-2.35
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 69.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.08
$-1.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.19Jul 20, 01:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.26Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.68Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
87% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.