Sympathetic-Count
0x43a0e3c391a4053e1a8492bfad14deedc6750d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$6.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
1475 shares @ 72.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$892.30
$-178.40
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
300 shares @ 91.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$292.05
$18.15
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
337 shares @ 72.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.05
$7.06
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$199.10
$9.90
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 93.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.15
$5.05
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$85.50
$12.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$53.14
$3.14
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
563 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-456.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$89.00Jul 2, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$100.00Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.3KJun 30, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?$400.00Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?$100.00Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$899.99Jun 30, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$200.00Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?$1000.00Jun 30, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$620.00Jun 30, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$99.99Jun 30, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in June?$31.19Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in June?$30.00Jun 30, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$600.00Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$100.00Jun 30, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$400.00Jun 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$73.00Jun 17, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$74.00Jun 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$24.44Jun 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$33.60Jun 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$85.00Jun 16, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $51.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.