0x443f86cca8cbc25a3dae085e2ce3923421d15e9f
0x443f86cca8cbc25a3dae085e2ce3923421d15e9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$32.63
Total PnL
$-19.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.27
$1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
5 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$4.60
$1.74
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$1.28
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.30
$0.89
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.95
$0.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$1.89
$0.93
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.81
$-0.06
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$0.28
- ELENA RYBAKINA
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Talia Gibson
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$1.29
$0.17
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1PM ET$1.00Apr 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 4?$1.04Apr 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 4?$1.29Apr 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.00Apr 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.87Apr 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Apr 2, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7PM ET$1.00Apr 2, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 March 30-April 5?$1.26Apr 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1PM ET$1.00Apr 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?$1.50Apr 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.68Apr 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$3.34Apr 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.23Apr 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlins$1.17Apr 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.54Apr 1, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.