Jovial-Nightgown
0x446756345fd0c9e1784868ae37d1dbe9849baf87
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$88.50
Total PnL
$-24.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?
24 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$24.21
$7.75
- NO
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
40 shares @ 38.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.72
$5.09
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$16.32
$6.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.74
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$0.14
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$2.44
$-0.81
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
13 shares @ 27.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.28
$-1.34
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-0.72
- NO
Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.50
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$2.76May 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$2.16May 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$0.42May 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$0.42May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$2.35May 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$8.60May 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$2.23May 20, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$0.40May 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$0.55May 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$2.23May 20, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$3.40May 20, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.18May 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?$10.28May 18, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$1.44May 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.97May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 18?$3.57May 15, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the June Fed decision?$2.81May 14, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.10May 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$4.02May 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.39May 13, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".