Linear-Stair
0x453d02f1f9e0ac75efad723a14a69b64d2445610
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$51.24
Total PnL
$-762.15
Realised
$2.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.54
$8.54
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
43 shares @ 42.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.08
$-7.37
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8 shares @ 65.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.27
$1.27
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.46
$-1.54
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
144 shares @ 13.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.24
$-16.76
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
6 shares @ 35.1¢·now 22.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-2.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$11.11May 30, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.07May 4, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?$3.19May 4, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$7.67May 4, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Apr 20, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.60Apr 18, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$7.29Apr 18, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Apr 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?$2.79Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?$5.53Apr 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?$4.42Apr 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.00Apr 16, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$10.00Apr 16, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?$5.00Apr 16, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$2.00Apr 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$5.00Apr 16, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 17:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".