Messy-Quiet
0x45900bebee28327e3e516f704ab1e7552f8c18cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$7.53
Total PnL
$-217.68
Realised
$-0.33
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.24
$0.24
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 10.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-1.82
- YES
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-4.90
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
356 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$4.71May 8, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.17May 8, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04May 8, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04May 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.03May 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.04May 8, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?$1.09May 7, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLLarry Wheels divorce by June 30?$0.72May 7, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.64May 7, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.67May 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.64May 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$6.76May 7, 12:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2.50May 2, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$5.23May 2, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.26May 2, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$6.90May 2, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$11.54May 2, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.