Red-Nicety
0x45e86a7a447426285b42a5e3320162df47ab8047
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-47.95
Realised
$5.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 12?
960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
187 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
165 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
97 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
65 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?$1.27Apr 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.10Apr 25, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$1.13Apr 25, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$6.00Apr 21, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get less than 62 million views on day 3?$0.00Apr 21, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?$0.00Apr 21, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.25Apr 21, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$1.00Apr 21, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.00Apr 21, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Apr 21, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?$2.00Apr 21, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.