Serious-Neck
0x461bbd434ae91e7a1a33fd4c7a0f2a0314d44b77
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$32.27
Total PnL
$-57.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$16.00
$1.00
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 59.4¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.82
$-5.18
- NO
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.45
$-0.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
1519 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-33.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
32 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
26 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$20.33May 14, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.08May 14, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.92May 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$18.90May 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$15.19May 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$33.42Jun 9, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $15.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".