Quick-Skirt
0x46caece7ac1a66e2b5f8f03178edad4566b02d58
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$81.35
Total PnL
$-246.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
50 shares @ 66.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$41.45
$8.45
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
210 shares @ 39.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.91
$-42.09
- YES
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
139 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
83 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.31
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?
75 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.68
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
36 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.63
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$28.86May 26, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lens win Coupe de France?$65.57May 26, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$90.36May 26, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m by December 31?$134.97Apr 29, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.20Apr 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$41.72Apr 22, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$42.86Apr 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$75.00Apr 11, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$30.00Apr 11, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$19.92Apr 11, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$24.52Apr 11, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$25.00Apr 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$20.00Apr 11, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$24.90Apr 11, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$15.00Apr 9, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$30.00Apr 8, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$20.00Apr 8, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$65.49Apr 8, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$30.01Apr 8, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $28.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.