Improbable-Documentary
0x4728d8377019661b41a2fdca0da55c1dd1e06426
Quality score
61/100
Open positions
75
Open notional
$52.5K
Total PnL
$-26.6K
Realised
$22.5K
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22250 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.0K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
11869 shares @ 61.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$11.7K
$4.4K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
7330 shares @ 78.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$7.3K
$1.6K
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
4800 shares @ 73.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.7K
$1.1K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
2934 shares @ 91.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.8K
$113.83
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
4465 shares @ 35.9¢·now 38.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$124.91
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2649 shares @ 23.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.5K
$865.53
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1563 shares @ 66.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$742.60
$-289.22
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1200 shares @ 40.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$617.88
$134.77
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1128 shares @ 67.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$490.82
$-265.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.3845m ago
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.2K2h ago
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$12.3K2h ago
- YIELD$1.561d ago
- YIELD$1.562d ago
- YIELD$1.383d ago
- YIELD$1.384d ago
- YIELD$1.475d ago
- YIELD$1.746d ago
- YIELD$1.297d ago
- YIELD$1.568d ago
- YIELD$1.769d ago
- YIELD$1.9510d ago
- YIELD$1.5811d ago
- YIELD$1.8612d ago
- YIELD$1.6913d ago
- YIELD$1.7914d ago
- YIELD$2.0815d ago
- YIELD$1.7016d ago
- YIELD$1.7917d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 31d ago
- Last active
- 45m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.