Medical-Defeat
0x47587258ae1bf319b68aeffaf8c07caab4f6d58b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$9.53
Total PnL
$-16.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.72
$-0.28
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 46.5¢·now 64.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$0.40
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
1 shares @ 75.7¢·now 62.9¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.13
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.10May 18, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$53.02May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$40.22May 17, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Navi make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?$5.02May 17, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$98.94May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026?$2.87May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$23.61May 16, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.05May 16, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$3.44May 16, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Navi make it to the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final?$4.73May 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.30May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.30May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Bank fail by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.00Apr 27, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$1.00Apr 27, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$1.00Apr 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$1.00Apr 27, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$1.00Apr 27, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".