Grim-Bowtie
0x477d1ff1b2a3b61c67803e024b3c0140f81955a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$573.78
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$124.88
Win rate
79%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
883 shares @ 33.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.67
$-97.39
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
206 shares @ 44.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$115.36
$24.64
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
721 shares @ 28.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.15
$-115.44
- NO
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
96 shares @ 45.3¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.28
$14.99
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$37.59
$7.52
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
85 shares @ 29.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.29
$-4.93
- NO
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
18 shares @ 80.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.49
$1.34
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
2050 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.22
$-65.52
- YES
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
60 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.68
$1.08
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
60 shares @ 7.5¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.76
$1.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$14.09Jun 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$16.38Jun 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.00Jun 2, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.35Jun 2, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.35Jun 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.00Jun 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$4.90Jun 1, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$18.83Jun 1, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$3.49Jun 1, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0.11Jun 1, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$3.13Jun 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.88Jun 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$3.24Jun 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0.76Jun 1, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.52Jun 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$7.60Jun 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$15.20Jun 1, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.75Jun 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.05Jun 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$15.60Jun 1, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.