Dishonest-Wool
0x487e0645b0ac1a2b99b3bd63bbc8a7966d8544cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.06
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$5.00May 20, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton drop out?$5.00May 20, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 20, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 50B in Q1?$5.00May 20, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.01May 18, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.01May 18, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.01May 18, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.01May 18, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$5.00May 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$5.00May 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00May 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$5.00May 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$5.00Apr 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.06Apr 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLJames Norton announced as next James Bond?$4.83Apr 7, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$4.01Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$5.00Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?$5.00Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Ellison be richest person on March 31?$5.00Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31? $5.00Apr 7, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.