Tepid-Grey
0x493029126348826610d1766a410d290fad6182ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$62.41
Realised
$791.95
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
786 shares @ 48.5¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$534.26
$153.23
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
1833 shares @ 10.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.50
$-7.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4376 shares @ 7.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$172.87
$-173.71
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
162 shares @ 57.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$80.38
$-13.66
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
100 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.00
$11.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
581 shares @ 30.2¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.87
$-111.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
236 shares @ 18.6¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.96
$2.06
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?
188 shares @ 39.1¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.19
$-29.26
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$41.50
$-4.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
45 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.42
$-2.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$76.56Jun 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.88Jun 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.56Jun 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.80Jun 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$91.20Jun 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.20Jun 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$96.00Jun 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$92.00Jun 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$46.00Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$45.06Jun 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.94Jun 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.00Jun 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$49.00Jun 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.30Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.30Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.00Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$180.65Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$144.00Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $46.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.