Burly-Tan
0x49b1611e376bb528dedd1429f1bdb99b79f70f4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$118.19
Total PnL
$-104.43
Realised
$237.04
Win rate
72%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
135 shares @ 21.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.19
$-10.22
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
46 shares @ 67.8¢·now 32.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.93
$-16.10
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
22 shares @ 62.3¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.08
$0.15
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
50 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-0.00
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
416 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.78
$-0.21
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$9.61
$-0.31
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
28 shares @ 56.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-5.96
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.95
$-4.95
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
488 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.15
$-90.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$9.86Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$10.27Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$10.17Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$9.88Jun 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$9.67Jun 11, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$0.30Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$9.98Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$8.20Jun 11, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$7.13Jun 11, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$0.36Jun 4, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$8.50May 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?$3.12May 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$2.73May 25, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$2.75May 24, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?$2.13May 24, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$1.53May 24, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?$1.75May 24, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$3.25May 24, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$3.85May 23, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.