Criminal-Heater
0x49d1bc8fba008de6914d0b7e927bc9d42af87b96
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$807.05
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
206 shares @ 79.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$202.08
$37.64
- NO
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
132 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$122.10
$13.86
- YES
Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
82 shares @ 93.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$79.57
$2.91
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
75 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$74.59
$3.34
- YES
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
55 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$54.51
$18.08
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$42.00
$-22.04
- NO
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
32 shares @ 72.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.70
$8.53
- YES
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
25 shares @ 85.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$23.44
$1.72
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
65 shares @ 44.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$20.38
$-8.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$44.82Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$50.00Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$99.37Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?$53.67Jun 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert White be the Democratic nominee for DC Delegate?$0.11Jun 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?$76.86Jun 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?$46.62Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$33.83Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brandon Riker advance from the CA-48 primary election?$51.10Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?$100.00Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election?$135.71Jun 4, 11:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?$5.00May 28, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$44.00May 28, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?$175.24May 20, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?$565.36May 20, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$767.96May 20, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$444.33May 16, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $133.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.